[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 29 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 29 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 29 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 089, 03/29/08
10.7 FLUX=083.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=050      BKI=2332 3223  BAI=011
BGND-XRAY=A4.1     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2322 2123  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B3.2   @ 0046UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.7   @ 0337UT   XRAY-AVG= A5.2
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/010,005,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,005   27DAY-KP=2232 2212 3212 1110
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 28 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 29 MAR 08 are: 2o 3- 2o 2o   2+ 1+ 2- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 MAR 08 are:   7  12   7   7   9   5   6  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 29 MAR is: 1.8E+09
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. The three spotted regions
       on the disk, 987 (S06W31), 988 (S08W06), and 989 (S12E23) were all
       generally stable and quiet during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low. There is a chance, however, for an isolated C-class event
       during the next three days (30 march - 01 april).

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed as
       measured at ace showed a downward trend during the period which is
       indicative of the decline of the high speed solar wind stream;
       day-end values were around 550 km/s. The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached very high levels during the
       past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (30 march) and
       is expected to be predominantly quiet for the second and third days
       (31 march - 01 april).

            Event probabilities 30 mar-01 apr

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 30 mar-01 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/15/15
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 29/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S06W31   260  0090 Dso  08   06 Beta
0988 S08W06   235  0220 Eai  11   10 Beta
0989 S12E23   206  0080 Cso  04   04 Beta
Regions Due to Return 30 Mar to 01 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 29 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **