[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Mar 31 22:31:45 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 30 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 090, 03/30/08
10.7 FLUX=081.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=041      BKI=4232 2112  BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A3.7     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4222 2112  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.5   @ 1737UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.7   @ 0338UT   XRAY-AVG= A4.8
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,075;SESC:080,080,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,004   27DAY-KP=3212 1110 1221 1101
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 30 MAR 08 are: 4- 2+ 2+ 2-   2- 1- 1o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 MAR 08 are:  22   9   9   6   6   3   4   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 MAR is: 1.5E+09
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. The three spotted regions
       on the disk continue to be stable and are generally declining.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be
       predominantly very low. There is, however, a chance for an isolated
       C-class event during the next three days (31 march - 02 april).

            The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled during the past
       24 hours. There was one isolated active period from 0000-0300Z. The
       greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
       levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (31 march) and
       should be generally quiet for the second and third days (01-02
       april).

            Event probabilities 31 mar-02 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 31 mar-02 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 30/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S06W46   262  0080 Dso  07   05 Beta
0988 S06W21   237  0200 Cao  07   04 Beta
0989 S12E08   208  0020 Cso  02   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 31 Mar to 02 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0986 S04    096


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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