[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 March
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Mar 31 22:31:45 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
30 MARCH, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 MARCH, 2008
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NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 090, 03/30/08
10.7 FLUX=081.0 90-AVG=073 SSN=041 BKI=4232 2112 BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A3.7 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=4222 2112 PAI=008
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B1.5 @ 1737UT XRAY-MIN= A2.7 @ 0338UT XRAY-AVG= A4.8
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,075;SESC:080,080,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/008,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=005,004 27DAY-KP=3212 1110 1221 1101
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 MAR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 30 MAR 08 are: 4- 2+ 2+ 2- 2- 1- 1o 2+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 MAR 08 are: 22 9 9 6 6 3 4 9
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 MAR is: 1.5E+09
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. The three spotted regions
on the disk continue to be stable and are generally declining.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be
predominantly very low. There is, however, a chance for an isolated
C-class event during the next three days (31 march - 02 april).
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled during the past
24 hours. There was one isolated active period from 0000-0300Z. The
greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
levels.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (31 march) and
should be generally quiet for the second and third days (01-02
april).
Event probabilities 31 mar-02 apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 31 mar-02 apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor storm 15/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 30/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0987 S06W46 262 0080 Dso 07 05 Beta
0988 S06W21 237 0200 Cao 07 04 Beta
0989 S12E08 208 0020 Cso 02 02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 31 Mar to 02 Apr
Nmbr Lat Lo
0986 S04 096
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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