[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu May 1 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 30 APRIL, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 121, 04/30/08
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=071        SSN=000      BKI=1102 1331  BAI=006
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1001 1352  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,010/015,010,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,011   27DAY-KP=1100 0100 0001 2353
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 29 APR 08 are: 3o 3- 1+ 1-   1o 3- 2o 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 APR 08 are:  15  12   5   3   4  12   7   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 APR is: 2.5E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
       past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
       the next three days (01-03 may). Elevated activity expected on day
       one is in response to the cme observed on 26 april. Activity on days
       two and three is in response to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
       stream that is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 01 may-03 may

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 may-03 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/30
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                50/40/40
                        Minor storm           15/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 30/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 01 May to 03 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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