[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 April
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu May 1 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
30 APRIL, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 121, 04/30/08
10.7 FLUX=067.0 90-AVG=071 SSN=000 BKI=1102 1331 BAI=006
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1001 1352 PAI=009
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,010/015,010,010
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=002,011 27DAY-KP=1100 0100 0001 2353
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 APR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 29 APR 08 are: 3o 3- 1+ 1- 1o 3- 2o 1+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 APR 08 are: 15 12 5 3 4 12 7 5
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 APR is: 2.5E+08
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
past 24 hours.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
the next three days (01-03 may). Elevated activity expected on day
one is in response to the cme observed on 26 april. Activity on days
two and three is in response to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream that is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position.
Event probabilities 01 may-03 may
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 may-03 may
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/30
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/40/40
Minor storm 15/10/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 30/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 01 May to 03 May
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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