[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 01 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  01 MAY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 01 MAY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 122, 05/01/08
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=071        SSN=000      BKI=1121 2324  BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0120 1334  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,010,010/010,012,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=011,021   27DAY-KP=0001 2353 1103 3654
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 01 APR 08 are: 0+ 1o 2- 0+   1- 3- 3- 4+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 01 APR 08 are:   2   4   6   2   3  12  12  32 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 01 MAY is: 1.4E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (02 may ). Quiet to
       unsettled conditions with isolated active periods are expected on
       days two and three (03-04 may), with isolated minor storm conditions
       possible at high latitudes, due to a recurrent coronal hole high
       speed stream.

            Event probabilities 02 may-04 may

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 02 may-04 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/30/30
                        Minor storm           05/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/35/35
                        Minor storm           10/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 01/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 02 May to 04 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 01 MAY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **